Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.188201 0.224588 0.265475 0.314725 0.372341 0.437509 0.516702
2025-03-16 0.128294 0.172831 0.228585 0.303113 0.399680 0.520081 0.681021
2025-03-23 0.101957 0.150318 0.215880 0.310416 0.442224 0.618299 0.869878
2025-03-30 0.084186 0.133860 0.205816 0.316248 0.479690 0.710502 1.058328
2025-04-06 0.069090 0.117575 0.192094 0.312950 0.501438 0.780803 1.221606
2025-04-13 0.057799 0.104661 0.180667 0.310229 0.521985 0.849603 1.387942
2025-04-20 0.051310 0.098239 0.178098 0.320376 0.562708 0.951972 1.614574
2025-04-27 0.049090 0.098707 0.186762 0.349780 0.637502 1.114814 1.952146
2025-05-04 0.044692 0.094348 0.186214 0.362830 0.685604 1.238124 2.236104
2025-05-11 0.038520 0.085462 0.176050 0.356979 0.699408 1.304224 2.428846
2025-05-18 0.032358 0.075460 0.162221 0.342196 0.694786 1.337009 2.565584
2025-05-25 0.027033 0.066227 0.148462 0.325485 0.684143 1.357157 2.680361
2025-06-01 0.024877 0.063759 0.148487 0.337108 0.731024 1.490232 3.019895
2025-06-08 0.020997 0.056611 0.137562 0.324626 0.728591 1.530392 3.189765
2025-06-15 0.019177 0.054039 0.136237 0.332401 0.768372 1.655718 3.534549
2025-06-22 0.017471 0.051412 0.134360 0.338613 0.805382 1.778714 3.885342
2025-06-29 0.015404 0.047418 0.128610 0.335100 0.820639 1.858469 4.155414
2025-07-06 0.013645 0.043898 0.123450 0.332200 0.836771 1.941247 4.438583
2025-07-13 0.012757 0.042679 0.123909 0.343012 0.885532 2.097963 4.890880
2025-07-20 0.012836 0.044345 0.132144 0.374332 0.985863 2.375644 5.625520
2025-07-27 0.012141 0.043506 0.133530 0.388229 1.045693 2.568299 6.189198
2025-08-03 0.010755 0.040187 0.127564 0.381998 1.055375 2.648340 6.508941
2025-08-10 0.009223 0.036039 0.118554 0.366254 1.039257 2.667232 6.691537